Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.660258 2.002345 2.418651 2.969671 3.690656 4.617510 5.925266e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.212950 1.625839 2.204280 3.103825 4.526491 6.803350 1.099061e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.921889 1.323335 1.941166 3.017907 4.982732 8.743317 1.753406e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.779156 1.182415 1.853362 3.144011 5.828247 11.949870 3.050436e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.666865 1.056030 1.744101 3.177657 6.508468 15.408492 5.040689e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.569691 0.931408 1.601201 3.086616 6.863539 18.430937 7.671801e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.498954 0.838709 1.493939 3.031165 7.282331 22.167900 1.203561e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.467398 0.811678 1.508493 3.259290 8.643394 31.208745 2.560307e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.435041 0.776638 1.497291 3.420694 9.939722 42.529855 5.670082e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.396576 0.722655 1.432337 3.416301 10.680148 52.826062 1.154440e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.358853 0.664467 1.346093 3.323513 11.037013 61.952025 2.261214e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.335037 0.632291 1.315008 3.386981 12.136620 80.656901 6.938112e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.318202 0.613596 1.315149 3.559085 13.984560 115.890263 5.191791e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.296964 0.582208 1.277493 3.595642 15.240309 153.714112 1.131582e+06
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.271520 0.537956 1.198271 3.459837 15.424782 178.866307 1.287034e+09
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.259195 0.522634 1.193994 3.601214 17.547183 264.975023 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.244561 0.499918 1.165085 3.638890 19.082925 365.978430 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.226992 0.468068 1.104913 3.530221 19.442425 442.532318 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.212480 0.442202 1.058161 3.464326 20.131895 559.796091 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.208252 0.441419 1.085539 3.735105 24.303545 1083.653898 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.202010 0.434744 1.093896 3.927256 28.262438 2064.864317 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.191818 0.416697 1.063530 3.922017 30.139631 3188.420245 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.180336 0.394152 1.015412 3.811498 30.616476 4271.578952 NaN